Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.187459 0.217089 0.249866 0.288816 0.333848 0.384287 0.445093
2025-08-24 0.142192 0.182254 0.231203 0.295423 0.377513 0.479021 0.614245
2025-08-31 0.116029 0.159545 0.216499 0.296528 0.406196 0.551422 0.758762
2025-09-07 0.099330 0.144636 0.207351 0.300547 0.435714 0.624995 0.910951
2025-09-14 0.084096 0.128680 0.193465 0.294516 0.448461 0.674725 1.033722
2025-09-21 0.073169 0.117039 0.183614 0.292063 0.464705 0.729681 1.168961
2025-09-28 0.065532 0.109158 0.178038 0.294777 0.488238 0.797147 1.330219
2025-10-05 0.061601 0.106536 0.180136 0.309544 0.532137 0.900835 1.561194
2025-10-12 0.057318 0.102672 0.179552 0.319454 0.568629 0.995760 1.787877
2025-10-19 0.053232 0.098562 0.177930 0.327116 0.601703 1.087864 2.019551
2025-10-26 0.048948 0.093521 0.173993 0.329981 0.626174 1.166922 2.236028
2025-11-02 0.044301 0.087212 0.166983 0.326209 0.637666 1.223148 2.415605
2025-11-09 0.039221 0.079557 0.156762 0.315453 0.635222 1.254161 2.552798
2025-11-16 0.036806 0.076871 0.155777 0.322672 0.668872 1.358375 2.847695
2025-11-23 0.034009 0.073050 0.152074 0.323879 0.690334 1.440467 3.106596
2025-11-30 0.031829 0.070239 0.150064 0.328269 0.718715 1.539343 3.411722
2025-12-07 0.028880 0.065415 0.143301 0.321681 0.722772 1.587544 3.612552
2025-12-14 0.026581 0.061749 0.138591 0.319001 0.734976 1.654282 3.861891
2025-12-21 0.024953 0.059407 0.136516 0.321966 0.760130 1.752006 4.192904
2025-12-28 0.024417 0.059537 0.139996 0.338097 0.817419 1.928156 4.727552
2026-01-04 0.023525 0.058715 0.141182 0.348922 0.863336 2.082848 5.228603
2026-01-11 0.022529 0.057519 0.141352 0.357292 0.904214 2.229890 5.727823
2026-01-18 0.021289 0.055569 0.139495 0.360422 0.932427 2.349252 6.171219